POLITICO Playbook: How To Sound Smart About Politics On Thanksgiving

POLITICO Playbook: How To Sound Smart About Politics On Thanksgiving

part

With help from Eli Ocon and Garrett Ross

driving day

It 's one of the slower weeks in politics as our elected leaders head into the Thanksgiving holiday, when they have a chance to assess the implications of their surprising midterm results and think about a way forward. will continue.

President Joe Biden will visit Nantucket for Thanksgiving, an annual Biden family tradition that has continued since the 1970s , although Biden did not visit the island in 2020 during the pandemic. The president recently said he would use the months between Thanksgiving and Christmas to evaluate his plans for re-election in 2024, saying it was "ultimately a family decision."

Unlike Biden, his colleagues Nancy Pelosi and Stephen Hoyer have already announced their resignations. They can enjoy the holidays without making a big decision. When House leaders announced their resignations, we asked if that had any bearing on Biden's decision. Maybe that makes him want to build a bridge to the next generation of Democrats he talked so much about in 2020? Or maybe it's a reminder of his age?

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, another October, said he's not going anywhere but faces comparisons to Pelosi and Hoyer, both of the same generation. Headline from The Washington Times McConnell said he "fired senior Capitol leaders who have spoken out as discontent spreads to the GOP base."

Meanwhile, the current Speaker of the House, Kevin McCarthy, will have to skip Thanksgiving to get 218 votes to become president. His latest attempt at correction was to remind conservatives that he wants to remove California Democrats Adam Schiff and Eric Swalwell from the Intelligence Committee.

When you're making your vacation plans, you 'll probably want to arm yourself with something smart to say about mid-term finances.

This is certainly a confusing topic. There was no red wave, but the Republicans took back the House. The anti-Trump coalition that returned Pelosi to the presidency in 2018 and elected Biden in 2020 appears to have held up against Democrats, but the biggest gains for Republicans have come among college-educated suburban women and black and Latino voters. We've heard for years that politics is becoming more nationalized, in part because of the decline of local news and the rise of national partisan cable networks, but many midterm races have turned into local issues or candidates. Ticket distribution has been said to be dead, but it was one of the most striking features of the November 8 polls.

But if you want to filter out a lot of the noise in the results and focus on the signal, you're better off ditching the Ron Brownstein clip this morning on CNN and saving it for Thursday.

Identify some key trends found in the 2022 results that tell us a lot about 2024:

  • Red states become redder. (See results from Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine .)
  • Blue countries are getting bluer. ( See Governor Gavin Newsom's re-election in California or what's happening in Colorado, Maryland, Massachusetts and Washington.)
  • Fewer voters in fewer states are likely to decide the next presidential election .

Both presidential candidates could start 2024 with 46 states and a bipartisan election DC Brownstein claims that, based on recent trends, a Democrat could start with 260 and a Republican with 235 valid electoral votes. In this scenario, long-term battlefield states turn red or blue. With Michigan and Pennsylvania seemingly back in Democratic hands, Florida and Ohio controlled by the GOP, sometimes blue North Carolina out of reach for Democrats, and the GOP constantly targeting New Hampshire out of reach for Republicans, the real draw may be 43 electoral votes. Only four states: Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin.

The Electoral College map is so narrowly segmented that you can limit scheduled voting to a few pockets scattered across these four states: Phoenix, Las Vegas and surrounding areas. Latino neighborhoods and middle-class communities in what is called BOW County in Wisconsin.

Of course, if that's too boring, ask your uncle what he thinks about Elon Musk's return as @realDonaldTrump . The conversation should start from this.

Good morning, Tuesday. Thank you for reading the book. Write to us with your Thanksgiving tips : Rachel Bede , Eugene Daniels , and Ryan Lisa .

Can I have the list? — “House Ethics Committee Investigates Met Gala Guest Caroline Maloney ” By Nicholas Wu: “Investigators allege [that] Rep. Caroline Maloney , a longtime Met Gala attendee, requested an invitation from the 2016 guest list. Legislators are generally not allowed to attend charity events like the Met Gala unless an invitation is requested. But Maloney's efforts to obtain an invitation may be against the law."

Lukewarm on Trump - "Rick Perry Unpredictable on Trump Run: 'Tell Me What Happens'" by Trent Brown of the Texas Tribune

Read Musk - “Elon Musk Says Twitter Is Dying and Ready to Be Rehired” by Alex Heath of The Verge: “Finding questions from employees for about half an hour from Twitter's headquarters in San Francisco, [ Elon ] Musk said, "Twitter's headquarters are similar to There are no plans to move the office to Texas, but it may make sense to have a "dual headquarters" in California and Texas. If we moved the headquarters to Texas, I think it would have affected the perception that Twitter was starting from the left, he said. On the right, but it didn't happen . This is a soft control of Twitter.

Related reading: "Twitter's 'stand and fight' era has arrived," by The Atlantic's Caitlin Tiffany: "Now that Elon Musk is welcoming Donald Trump to Twitter, some liberals feel they can't leave the platform behind."

WOZA - "Associated Press fires reporter behind Russian missile 'pull' story" by Corbin Polis and Lachlan Cartwright of The Daily Beast: "The Associated Press shocked much of the world last Tuesday when it alerted readers to what it said was a "U.S. senior." intelligence officer". "Afraid. "Russian missiles blast NATO member Poland, killing two... On Monday, the AP fired the investigative reporter responsible for the story, James Laporta, Convidere learns . The article was co-authored by John Lister (who still works for the Associated Press) , It attributes the information to a "senior U.S. intelligence official," though the AP says it "seeks multiple sources and regularly requests them when the source is anonymous."

"Army veteran goes into 'war mode' to disarm Club Q shooter " By Dave Phillips of the New York Times in Colorado Springs: " Richard M. Fierro was at a table at Club Q with his wife, daughter and friends on Saturday When the nightclub opened fire. When his brilliance started and his instincts kicked in. During four battlefields in Iraq and Afghanistan, he said to himself as he watched the movement: Protect your people...

"I don't know exactly what you did," Mr. Fierro said, shaking his head as he stood in the hallway, the American flag fluttering in the cold wind, "I just went into battle mode." "That's all I know. I have to kill this man before he kills us." ...

"It was Mr. Fierro's first time in a drag show and he loved it. He spent 15 years in the military and now enjoys being a civilian, being a father and taking care of one of his daughter's old high school friends. " "I want to have fun, party and rock," these kids describe the night. "I'm happy about that because that's what I fought for, so they can do whatever they want."

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Klings - "Rep. David Waldau wins re-election in dangerous Mid-Valley congressional seat," by Melanie Mason of the Los Angeles Times: "Rep. David Waldau , a Republican who voted to impeach President Trump, is nearing the end of primary campaign. , will return to Congress later next year with a victory over Democratic Congressman Rudy Salas. The Associated Press called the race Monday, though official results will take longer. Waldauer's win and two other congressional races in California after Republicans took control of the House of Representatives last week makes up the majority of the Republican party.

— Steve Shepherd ( @POLITICO_Steve ): “In January 2021, two of the 10 Republican representatives who voted to impeach then-President Trump returned to Congress: Reps. David Waldau (#CA22) and Dan Neuhaus (#WA04).

Runoff Report - "US Senate runoff vote upheld Saturday" by Mark Ness of The Atlanta Journal - Constitution: A Georgia appeals court on Saturday rejected an attempt to stop early voting in the US Senate runoff , which would have been allowed by decision. Polls will be held in states over the Thanksgiving weekend. The court's ruling with a conviction on Monday was a victory for the campaign of Democratic US Sen. Raphael Warnock , who has sued the Georgia Democratic Party to gain access to the weekend polls.

ARIZONA CONCERN - "Arizona's second Republican-controlled state delayed certifying results from this month's election Monday to protest voting problems in Maricopa County, which some GOP officials have blamed for losses in major races, including the gubernatorial race, Bob Christie of the Associated Press said.

—Maricopa County officials face state demands, outside threats as vote nears, by Sasha Hopka of The Arizona Republic.

Banks shot - If Republican Sen. Mike runs for governor in 2024 , Abdul Hakim Hakim of Indy Politics reports that Sen. Brown is seeking a seat. "Banks is the new majority whip and the Republican caucus lost, so sources say it's the US Senate ."

White House

BIDEN BATTENS DOWN - By Christopher Cadlago Guardians Guardians Republicans tighten control As Donald Trump announces another bid, President Joe and his allies move quickly to deal with the expected setback. Right wing attacks on right - For months, White House officials have been plotting to prepare for a possible impeachment battle against a congressional investigation...

The president's aides know that they are unpleasant, unpleasant and even very personal. They come for everything from the disorderly withdrawal from Afghanistan to migrants crossing the southern border. அக்குக்குநை ... But officials behind the plan and others argue that the difficult new terrain will create an opportunity to draw contrasts with political opponents who see their priorities as distinctly outside the mainstream. don't do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do do

Knight of Hunter - “Hunter's Biden laptop data from the FBI repair shop from the repair shop.

trump

the master. SMITH NOT IN WASHINGTON - "From Europe, Trump's Special Counsel Takes Charge of Investigation Jan. 6 by Barrett Perry Newly appointed Counsel Smith was operating out of Europe. Complex officials who found the team to find office space during the two investigations high-profile against former President Donald Trump, he insisted, was late in appointing Smith, not even late, although they said they knew when he would return. through the operation."

Tax fraud trial may end soon - "The Trump Corporation trial took a break as the trial progressed rapidly. Manhattan prosecutors in the tax fraud trial of Donald Trump's Trump family business closed their case Monday without calling any witnesses The company's CFO testified last week, in a sign of increased confidence.

TIME: "Plaintiffs' conclusion to their case is that whatever the judge says will last until December, the hope is next week. Defense, defense, defense. As they are, as they are, as the scales are in favor of ." However, on Tuesday, he will be on hiatus for the Thanksgiving weekend and will be back on Nov. 28.

January. 6 and the next event

An Act of Treason - "What was it? The Justice Department's January 6 trial," by Lindsey Whitehurst and Dorkin of the Associated Press: "Two witnesses testify, then judges [ Oathkeepers founder Stuart Rhodes ] and Rhodes' criminal trial and four of other defendants will begin. Closing arguments are scheduled for the defense Monday... the outcome could also affect the future of the Justice Department's massive and costly subversion trial. Some have wanted to portray it as politically motivated ."

The war in Ukraine

The fight for money - "Republican congressional leaders are pressuring a growing number of lawmakers who want to make the war effort in Ukraine a move that will further divide the Republican Party on American support for Cave," Andrew Dezirio said in a statement. from Nova Nova. The Halifax International Security Forum, an annual pro-democracy conference, revealed in an interview with producers that Congress is likely to request more than $38 billion to be spent on Ukraine's financial and economic needs. yes

If Congress approves or grants the White House's request, then the U.S. commitment to Kiev to begin in February will be canceled by the end of the year. Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf Nixaf .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . Re-evaluate Re-evaluate Republican policy to re-evaluate. But tick tick tick tick tick tick tick tick tick tick करें करें करें पुर्मुल्यायन पुनरमुल्यायन पुर्मुल्यायन पूर्मुल्यायन തിക്കുക്കൂകം നിക്കിക്ക് ഗുരിക്കുക്കുക്കുക്കുക്കുക്കിക്കുക്കുക്കിക്കി and reduction of aid no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no.

From Kyiv, the view - "Civilians, Ukraine, Ukraine: free area before winter"

Ground- "at night on the river Амбушинг Русскийсс Русскийсс," by NYT's Гол: "Україный гулиные очень шатру лайнер гачей Днипро нади чалчаче чалчаче чалчаче чалачче чалчаче чалачче чалачче чалачче чалачче"

this is true

Bend It Like Blinken - - Anthony Blinken The Diplomatic of the Game Game Game The Atlantic Foyer by by

mediawatch

की देशान्तिस दुम चेपेक? - “বব কার্যকাল ডিজনির এবং বাইরে রাজনৈতিক দ্বারা চিহ্নিত চিহ্নিত সিএনএন-রমিশাহ দ্বারা দ্বারা দ্বারা:” [ডিজনি ক্ষমতাচ্যুত ক্ষমতাচ্যুত ক্ষমতাচ্যুত ক্ষমতাচ্যুত দেখা দিয়েছে অন্তত আংশিকভাবে ফ্লোরিডার পিতামাতার পিতামাতার বিলের কারণে সমালোচকদের দ্বারা দ্বারা দ্বারা দ্বারা দ্বারা துர்யாய்யாயாயாயாயாயாயாயாயாயாயுயாயு மாயாயாயாயாயு 'it is too late'. திர் பின்ட்டுக்க்கு புர்ப்புப்ப்பு வாட்ட்டுக்குத்தை

Earlier this year, Disney faced criticism for not taking the matter public. আন্ট্তি কাক্তিক্ক্কাক্শা প্ষিন অধিয়্য়্যান নিল্য়্তে সান্য়ান নিক্যান্ত্য কানিক্দাদাদার্দ্রার্তারিত্র. ক্র্যান্ক্ক প্র্ত্য্তি দ্র্য্রি despite initial efforts চাপ্কেক প্টিলিক জ্বাল্য়িয়্তি । (It's publicly available on Twitter below the bill)

-Related Read : NYT's Barnes Burns By Benjamin & Stewart A Disgruntled Return to Disney Shocked done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done done did did did did did did did did did did did did completely

Post Politics — "Fred Ryan's Re-election," by Packer's Dylan Byers: "Today, questions about [ WaPo publisher FRED ] RYAN's leadership became a hot topic of discussion at the Post. As I reported earlier this week, a familiar complaint inside the building is that , in fact, Ryan hasn't moved aggressively enough to capitalize on the paper's success in the Trump era, and he doesn't have what it takes to build one. Strong subscription business. And, as I've reported, those frustrations go to the top of the newsroom.

"In private conversations with colleagues and friends, [Executive Editor Sally] BUZBEE has criticized Ryan's lack of strategy on editorial and digital investments and the company's inability to grow the client business through M&A, sources who have spoken to him told me. He is against the Times' aggressive acquisition strategy. ঈর্ষান্বিত বলে মনে করা হয়, যার মধ্যে ওয়ার্ডলে কেনাও ছিল। এবং, সবচেয়ে উল্লেখযোগ্যভাবে, তিনি সহকর্মীদের বলেছেন যে তিনি জানেন না যে রায়ান কতদিন সিইও হিসাবে থাকবেন বা থাকবেন, যদিও তিনি এই সপ্তাহের শুরুতে আমার সাথে একটি সংক্ষিপ্ত চ্যাটে রেকর্ডে এটি স্পষ্টভাবে অস্বীকার করেছিলেন।"

প্লেবুকাররা

মার্জোরি টেলর গ্রিন টুইটারে ফিরে এসেছেন।

পিটার থিয়েল -অর্থায়ন করা অ্যান্টি-ওয়েক ব্যাংক গ্লোরিফাই বন্ধ হয়ে যাচ্ছে।

সোমবার ডুপন্ট সার্কেল ছিল বিশ্বকাপের দর্শকে পূর্ণ। (আমরা কল্পনা করি যে দৃশ্যটি বেশ ভিন্ন ছিল যখন ওয়েলস দেরিতে সমতা আনে।)

সোমবার দুপুরের খাবারের সময় জো-তে দেখা গেছে: গুস্টার প্রধান গায়ক (এবং আটলান্টিকের মাঝে মাঝে অবদানকারী) রায়ান মিলার রবার্ট কস্তা , জেফরি গোল্ডবার্গ , অ্যালেক্স এডেলম্যান এবং রবিন ক্যানারের সাথে তার 50 তম জন্মদিন উদযাপন করছেন।

স্টাফিং আপ — জেনা ভ্যালে-রিয়েস্ট্রা এখন ট্রেজারির একজন মুখপাত্র। তিনি পূর্বে সেন ডিক ডারবিনের অধীনে সিনেট জুডিশিয়ারি কমিটির প্রেস সেক্রেটারি ছিলেন (D-Ill.)। … জেরেমি বার্নটন এখন রাজ্যে হোয়াইট হাউসের যোগাযোগ। তিনি সম্প্রতি ইউএসএআইডি-তে নির্বাহী সচিব ছিলেন।

নিযুক্ত — টিফানি হাস , সেনেট হেল্প কমিটি ডেমসের শ্রম নীতি উপদেষ্টা, এবং NRSC-এর ডেটা এবং পোলিং ডিরেক্টর নিক সিলভারম্যান এই সপ্তাহান্তে প্রতিফলিত পুলে বাগদান করেছেন। ছবি

বিবাহ — পার্কার ভ্যান ডি ওয়াটার , কেনেডি সেন্টারের সরকারী সমন্বয়কারী এবং একটি হাউস অ্যাপ্রোপ্রিয়েশন অ্যালুম এবং প্যাট্রিক মেলেট, ডিসি-তে আইনি পরিষেবার একজন আইনজীবী এবং বেটি ম্যাককলম অ্যালাম, সম্প্রতি ওয়ারেন্টন, ভা-এর এয়ারলিতে বিয়ে করেছেন। দুজনের দেখা হয়েছিল যখন 2018 সালে পাহাড়ে কাজ করা। ছবি … আরেকটি ছবি

বিশ্বে স্বাগতম ডিজিটাল থেরাপিউটিক কোম্পানি Woebot Health-এর একজন VP Alicia Daugherty এবং WaPo-এর একজন স্বাস্থ্য প্রতিবেদক ড্যান ডায়মন্ড , 15 নভেম্বর ড্যাশ ডেভিড ডায়মন্ডকে স্বাগত জানিয়েছেন, যিনি 6 পাউন্ডে এসেছিলেন৷ ছবি আরেকটি ছবি

- নিক ক্যাল্ডেরন , ন্যারেটিভ স্ট্র্যাটেজিসের সিনিয়র ম্যানেজার এবং জ্যাকি ক্যাল্ডেরন , ললার, মেটজগার, কিনি এবং লোগান এলএলসি-এর অপারেশন ম্যানেজার, তাদের প্রথম সন্তান ক্যাথরিন জোয়ান "সিজে" ক্যালডেরনকে 9 নভেম্বর স্বাগত জানিয়েছেন।

শুভ জন্মদিন: জাতিসংঘে মার্কিন রাষ্ট্রদূত লিন্ডা থমাস-গ্রিনফিল্ড (7-0) … নেদারল্যান্ডসে মার্কিন রাষ্ট্রদূত শেফালি রাজদান দুগ্গাল … প্রতিনিধি অ্যান্ড্রু ক্লাইড (আর-গা।) … এনবিসির স্কট ওং … রাজ্যের নেড প্রাইস (4-0) … পলিটিকোর টিমোথি ফ্রাঙ্কোইস … সিএনএন-এর ক্যাসি স্পোডাক … ইনফরমেশন টেকনোলজি অ্যান্ড ইনোভেশন ফাউন্ডেশনের রব অ্যাটকিনসন … সিবিএসের ম্যাথিউ মস্কজ্যাকব উড … ব্রান্সউইক গ্রুপের রবার্ট ক্রিস্টিঅ্যানি শপমেগান ডুগানজেমস উইলিয়ামস অফ আর্নল্ড ভেঞ্চারস … সেনস মারকোর লরেন মারকোর (আর-ফ্লা.) অফিস … মীনা গণেসান … দ্যস্কিমের জেসিকা টার্টলটাবটিম আর কোহেন … প্রাক্তন রিপাবলিকান অ্যান্থনি ব্রিন্ডিসি (ডিএন.ওয়াই.) … ম্যাগি ম্যাডসেনবেটিনা ইনক্লান-এজেন … ফ্লেক্সপয়েন্ট মিডিয়ার টিম ক্যামেরন সিটি এনওয়াই এর হ্যারি সিগেলঅ্যান্ডি স্টার্নডনি ডয়েচআলেসান্দ্রা গ্রাবোস্কি

প্লেবুকারস টিপস পাঠান [ইমেল সুরক্ষিত] বা আমাদের 202-556-3307 এ টেক্সট করুন। আমাদের সম্পাদক মাইক ডিবোনিস, উপ-সম্পাদক জ্যাক স্ট্যান্টন এবং প্রযোজক সেটোটা হেইলেমারিয়াম এবং বেথানি আরভিন ছাড়া প্লেবুক ঘটতে পারে না

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